Time Series Analysis of Municipal Green Spaces Changes in Sokoto North and Sokoto South Lgas of Sokoto State, Nigeria.

This study investigates the temporal dynamics of municipal green spaces in Sokoto North and Sokoto South Local Government Areas (LGAs), Nigeria, using time series analysis. Urbanization and population growth have significantly contributed to the decline of green spaces, impacting biodiversity, air quality, and the overall well-being of residents. The study employs remote sensing and Geographic Information System (GIS) techniques to analyze spatial changes in land use from 1994 to 2024, focusing on the drivers and patterns of green space loss. Results indicate a dramatic reduction in green spaces from 48% in 1994 to 11% by 2024, with built-up areas expanding from 37% to 72% within the same period. This trend highlights the increasing encroachment of urban development on natural ecosystems. Factors such as unplanned urbanization, weak regulatory enforcement, and deforestation were identified as primary contributors to this decline. The research emphasizes the critical need for sustainable urban planning, including afforestation programs, effective land use policies, and community awareness campaigns, to mitigate future losses. Forecasting analysis predicts continued green space reduction if current trends persist. The findings provide valuable insights for policymakers, urban planners, and environmental managers in addressing the challenges of urbanization while preserving ecological balance and enhancing urban resilience in Sokoto.