Time Series Analysis on Monthly Reported Cases of Drug Addiction and Rehabilitation in National Drug Law Enforcement Agency, Sokoto
Student: ABDULAZIZ ABDULLAHI (Project, 2025)
Department of Mathematics and Statistics
Umaru Ali Shinkafi Polytechnic, Sokoto, Sokoto State
Abstract
We used Box-Jekins ARIMA method to identify and estimate a times series model for drug addiction and rehabilitation in Sokoto state. The data set was obtained from NDLEA D. D. R. unit Sokoto State Command. And is for the period 2017 – 2023. Preliminary investigation of the data properties indicated that the series is stationary at the level. Six candidate models were identified to fit the series among which ARMA (2 2) was found to have the best fit with minimum information criterion. Diagnostic checking of the model residuals confirmed the adequacy of the model. The result of the forecast confirmed that drug addiction and rehabilitation cases will continue to persist in the state.
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For the full publication, please contact the author directly at: abdulazizfs71@gmail.com
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- Abdul-Gusau Polytechnic, Talata-Mafara, Zamfara State 3
- Abia State Polytechnic, Aba, Abia State 24
- Abia State University, Uturu, Abia State 71
- Abraham Adesanya Polytechnic, Ijebu-Igbo, Ogun State 3
- Abubakar Tafawa Balewa University, Bauchi, Bauchi State 15
- Abubakar Tatari Ali Polytechnic, Bauchi State. (affiliated To Atbu Bauchi) 1
- Achievers University, Owo, Ondo State 6
- Adamawa State University, Mubi, Adamawa State 8
- Adekunle Ajasin University, Akungba-Akoko, Ondo State 26
- Adeleke University, Ede, Osun State 1