Time Series Analysis on Monthly Reported Cases of Drug Addiction and Rehabilitation in National Drug Law Enforcement Agency, Sokoto
Student: ABDULAZIZ ABDULLAHI (Project, 2025)
Department of Mathematics and Statistics
Umaru Ali Shinkafi Polytechnic, Sokoto, Sokoto State
Abstract
We used Box-Jekins ARIMA method to identify and estimate a times series model for drug addiction and rehabilitation in Sokoto state. The data set was obtained from NDLEA D. D. R. unit Sokoto State Command. And is for the period 2017 – 2023. Preliminary investigation of the data properties indicated that the series is stationary at the level. Six candidate models were identified to fit the series among which ARMA (2 2) was found to have the best fit with minimum information criterion. Diagnostic checking of the model residuals confirmed the adequacy of the model. The result of the forecast confirmed that drug addiction and rehabilitation cases will continue to persist in the state.
Keywords
For the full publication, please contact the author directly at: abdulazizfs71@gmail.com
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- Covenant Polytechnic, Aba, Abia State 1
- Covenant University, Canaan Land, Ota, Ogun State 4
- Crawford University of Apostolic Faith Mission Faith City, Igbesa, Ogun State 2
- Crescent University, Abeokuta, Ogun State 1
- Cross Rivers University of Technology, Calabar, Cross Rivers State 142
- Delta State Polytechnic, Ogwashi-Uku, Delta State 11
- Delta State Polytechnic, Otefe, Delta State 12
- Delta State University, Abraka, Delta State 139
- Ebonyi State University, Abakaliki, Ebonyi State 17
- Edo University, Iyamho, Edo State 10