Time Series Analysis on Monthly Reported Cases of Drug Addiction and Rehabilitation in National Drug Law Enforcement Agency, Sokoto
Student: ABDULAZIZ ABDULLAHI (Project, 2025)
Department of Mathematics and Statistics
Umaru Ali Shinkafi Polytechnic, Sokoto, Sokoto State
Abstract
We used Box-Jekins ARIMA method to identify and estimate a times series model for drug addiction and rehabilitation in Sokoto state. The data set was obtained from NDLEA D. D. R. unit Sokoto State Command. And is for the period 2017 – 2023. Preliminary investigation of the data properties indicated that the series is stationary at the level. Six candidate models were identified to fit the series among which ARMA (2 2) was found to have the best fit with minimum information criterion. Diagnostic checking of the model residuals confirmed the adequacy of the model. The result of the forecast confirmed that drug addiction and rehabilitation cases will continue to persist in the state.
Keywords
For the full publication, please contact the author directly at: abdulazizfs71@gmail.com
Filters
Institutions
- Sokoto State University, Sokoto, Sokoto State 42
- St. Albert The Great Major Seminary, Abeokuta. (affl. To University of Benin) 1
- Sule Lamido University, Kafin Hausa, Jigawa State 4
- Tai Solarin University of Education, Ijagun, Ogun State 18
- Tansian University, Oba, Anambra State 1
- Taraba State University, Jalingo, Taraba State 32
- Temple-Gate Polytechnic, Osisioma, Abia State 1
- The Oke-Ogun Polytechnic, Saki, Oyo State 6
- The Polytechnic, Ibadan, Oyo State 13
- THOMAS ADEWUMI UNIVERSITY, OKO-IRESE, KWARA STATE 1