Time Series Analysis on Monthly Reported Cases of Drug Addiction and Rehabilitation in National Drug Law Enforcement Agency, Sokoto
Student: ABDULAZIZ ABDULLAHI (Project, 2025)
Department of Mathematics and Statistics
Umaru Ali Shinkafi Polytechnic, Sokoto, Sokoto State
Abstract
We used Box-Jekins ARIMA method to identify and estimate a times series model for drug addiction and rehabilitation in Sokoto state. The data set was obtained from NDLEA D. D. R. unit Sokoto State Command. And is for the period 2017 – 2023. Preliminary investigation of the data properties indicated that the series is stationary at the level. Six candidate models were identified to fit the series among which ARMA (2 2) was found to have the best fit with minimum information criterion. Diagnostic checking of the model residuals confirmed the adequacy of the model. The result of the forecast confirmed that drug addiction and rehabilitation cases will continue to persist in the state.
Keywords
For the full publication, please contact the author directly at: abdulazizfs71@gmail.com
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- Al-Hikmah University, Ilorin, Kwara State 2
- AL-ISTIQAMAH UNIVERSITY, SUMAILA, KANO STATE 1
- Al-Qalam University, Katsina, Katsina State 5
- Alex Ekwueme Federal University, Ndufu-Alike, Ebonyi State 87
- Alvan Ikoku College of Education, Imo State, (Affl To Univ of Nigera, Nsukka) 11
- Ambrose Alli University, Ekpoma, Edo State 478
- Anambra State College of Health Technology, Obosi, Anambra State 1
- Auchi Polytechnic, Auchi, Edo State 503
- Auchi Polytechnic, Auchi, Edo State. (affl To Nnamdi Azikiwe University, Awka) 3
- Audu Bako College of Agriculture Danbatta, Kano, Kano State 54